Understanding the megatrends

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February 11, 2025

𝙇𝙤𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙜𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙖𝙡 𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙤𝙢𝙞𝙚𝙨 𝙖𝙧𝙚 𝙞𝙣𝙛𝙡𝙪𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙚𝙙 𝙗𝙮 𝙜𝙡𝙤𝙗𝙖𝙡 𝙙𝙮𝙣𝙖𝙢𝙞𝙘𝙨, 𝙤𝙛𝙩𝙚𝙣 𝙘𝙖𝙡𝙡𝙚𝙙 𝙢𝙚𝙜𝙖𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙨. I deal a lot with these when writing local and regional economic strategies and advising city leaders.

Here are some of the most critical megatrends local economies are dealing with. Over the next 6 months I will zoom into each megatrend and report in more detail on how it is affecting local and regional economies in the UK.

𝙎𝙤𝙘𝙞𝙖𝙡 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝘾𝙤𝙢𝙢𝙪𝙣𝙞𝙩𝙮 𝙈𝙚𝙜𝙖𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙨:
– 𝗔𝗴𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗣𝗼𝗽𝘂𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: In 50 years, the UK will add 8.2 million people aged 65+. This pressures pensions, elderly care, and workforce practices.
– 𝗜𝗻𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆: The UK shows high income inequality, impacting consumer growth and straining social systems.
– 𝗗𝗶𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗶𝘁𝘆: Increasing ethnic, cultural, and gender diversity, with women rising in leadership roles.
– 𝗠𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗸 𝗣𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀: ICT, diversity training, and online learning are essential. Freelancers and Gen Y must keep enhancing skills.

𝙂𝙡𝙤𝙗𝙖𝙡 𝙀𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙤𝙢𝙮 𝙈𝙚𝙜𝙖𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙨:
– 𝗧𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗶𝗳𝗳𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘁: a new megatrend, which began with US tariffs in January 2025
– 𝗦𝗵𝗶𝗳𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗔𝘀𝗶𝗮: By 2027, India will surpass China in population.
– 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗲 𝗠𝗶𝗴𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: Movement from cities to smaller towns and leafy suburbs.
– 𝗚𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗩𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆: Instability reshapes trade and politics.
– 𝗞𝗻𝗼𝘄𝗹𝗲𝗱𝗴𝗲 𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗸: The increase in demand for skilled knowledge workers.

𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙤𝙡𝙤𝙜𝙮 𝙈𝙚𝙜𝙖𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙨:
– 𝗔𝗜 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗔𝘂𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: Transforming jobs and processes.
– 𝗗𝗶𝗴𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: Products become more accessible.
– 𝗜𝗼𝗧/𝗖𝗹𝗼𝘂𝗱: Billions of devices connect, altering industries.
– 𝟯𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴: Offers cost savings, customisation, rapid prototpying and the potential to disrupt manufacturing component supply.

𝙀𝙣𝙫𝙞𝙧𝙤𝙣𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡 𝙈𝙚𝙜𝙖𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙨:
– 𝗖𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲: Affects socioeconomics and migration.
– 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗲 𝗦𝗰𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆: Rising demand pressures natural resources.
– 𝗘𝗻𝘃𝗶𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗔𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀: Consumers demand sustainable products.

Understanding these forces is crucial to help our cities and local communities navigate future challenges in our interconnected world.

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